人民币汇率波动影响因素分析.pdf

本科论文 摘　要 近年来，随着国际金融领域的不断发展，汇率成为了一国和其他各国紧密联系的纽 带，在金融领域中发挥着不可替代的作用。本文在现有的汇率决定理论基础上，以经济 因素为主、政治因素为辅，对影响人民币汇率波动的因素进行研究。在经济因素中，主 要是通过收集近十年的数据，借助折线图来反应各种影响因素与汇率之间存在的关系。 在政治因素中，主要介绍了我国的汇率制度、货币政策以及美国的货币政策的实施是如 何对汇率产生影响的。最后，根据对经济和政治因素的分析，提出一些稳定人民币汇率 的参考性建议，使人民币汇率在合理范围内波动。汇率在国际经济中具有至关重要的地 位，有关汇率影响因素的结论可以在避免汇率风险和判断汇率走势等方面提供一些理论 支持。 关键词：汇率波动，经济因素，政治因素 本科论文 Abstract In recent years, with the continuous development of the international financial field, the exchange rate has become a close link between one country and other countries, and plays an irreplaceable role in the financial field. Based on the existing theory of exchange rate determination, this paper studies the factors that affect the fluctuation of RMB exchange rate, mainly by economic factors and supplemented by political factors. In the economic factors, mainly through the collection of data for nearly a decade, with the help of a broken line diagram to reflect the relationship between various factors and exchange rates. Among the political factors, this paper mainly introduces how the exchange rate system, monetary policy and the implementation of American monetary policy affect the exchange rate. Maximum After that, according to the analysis of economic and political factors, some reference suggestions for stabilizing the RMB exchange rate are put forward to make the RMB exchange rate fluctuate within a reasonable range. Exchange rate plays a vital role in the international economy, and the conclusion about the influencing factors of exchange rate can provide some theoretical support in avoiding exchange rate risk and judging exchange rate trend.