TED中英官方演讲稿-KevinKelly_2016T[凯文·凯利][人工智能将如何推动第二次工业革命].pdf

T D演讲者 ：Kevin Kelly | 凯文·凯利 演讲标题 ：How AI can bring on a second Industrial Revolution | 人工智能将如何推动第二次工业革命 内容概要 ："The actual path of a raindrop as it goes down the valley is unpredictable, but the general direction is inevitable," says digital visionary Kevin Kelly — and technology is much the same, driven by patterns that are surprising but inevitable. Over the next 20 years, he says, our penchant for making things smarter and smarter will have a profound impact on nearly everything we do. Kelly explores three trends in AI we need to understand in order to embrace it and steer its development. "The most popular AI product 20 years from now that everyone uses has not been invented yet," Kelly says. "That means that you're not late." “雨滴汇入山谷的具体路径是不可预测的 ，但它的大方向是必然的。”数字梦想家凯文·凯利如是说。技术在 很大程度上也是如此 ，它的发展趋势令人惊奇但又具有某种必然性。他认为 ，未来20年里我们想要让事物变 得智能化的努力将对我们身边的每件事情都产生深远影响。凯文·凯利指出了 AI 大潮中我们需要了解的三个 趋势 ，以使我们能更好的拥抱 AI 并控制它的发展。 “20年后人人都用的 AI 产品还没有被发明出来呢 ，”他 说 ， “这意味着 ，你们还有机会。” www.XiYuS 锡育软件 I'm going to talk a little bit about where technology 's going. 我打算谈一谈技术的发 趋势。[00:14] And often technology comes to us, we're surprised by what it 当 （新的 ）技术到来时, 常常会令我们感到惊讶。 brings. [00:19] But there's actually a large aspect of technology that's much 但事实上,技术在很大程度上 是能够被预见的。 这 more predictable, and that's because technological systems 是因为所有的技术都有某种倾向性, 有某种冲动, of all sorts have leanings, they have urgencies, they have 有某种趋势。[00:24] tendencies. And those tendencies are derived from the very nature of the这些趋势是 由电线、开关、以及电子的 物理和化 physics, chemistry of wires and switches and electrons, and 学本质所决定的, 并且呈现出不断重复的模式。 they will make reoccurring patterns again and again. [00:36] And so those patterns produce these tendencies, these 或者说,这些模式形成了某种趋势、某种倾向。 leanings. [00:49] You