PM-workshop项目管理课件.ppt

Potential Problem Analysis A systematic process for protecting actions or plans To ensure the intended value of the project is not jeopardized and to avoid being reactive Identify potential problems Identify likely causes Take preventive action Plan contingent action and triggers Project Planning 潜在问题分析 用于保护计划的一套系统方法 确保项目的预期价值可以达到并避免被动反应 找出潜在问题 找出可能起因 采取预防措施 规划应急措施和设定起动机制 List Potential Problems Identifying future undesirable deviations To anticipate and prepare for future problems Ask: What could go wrong with this work package? List quickly without discussion Be specific—separate Revise into Object/Deviation format Work on high-priority potential problems first Consider resource shortages, scheduling conflicts, personnel decisions, natural phenomena, misunderstood goals, environmental issues… Project Planning 列出潜在问题 找出未来不想要的偏差 为将来可能出现的问题做好准备 提问: 做这项终端工作时，什么会出差错？ 不经讨论迅速列出 要具体 — 单独的列出 写成物体/偏差格式 先讨论优先级高的潜在问题 考虑资源短缺,时间冲突,个人意愿,自然现象,误解目标 ,环境问题等 PPA - List the potential Problem Potential Problem 工厂着火 设备延误 工厂完工 Assess the Threat Determining the degree of risk associated with each potential problem Ask: What is the likelihood of this potential problem occurring (probability)? What will be the impact of this potential problem (seriousness)? Document evidence of the likelihood and impact Rate the probability and seriousness of each potential problem Work on most serious and probable problems first Reduce overall risk to an acceptable level Project Planning 评估危险 决定潜在问题的风险程度 提问: 潜在问题发生的可能性如何(机率)? 潜在问题发生的影响为何(严重性)? 将可能性及严重性做纪录 对每个潜在问题的可能性及严重性作评比 先考虑可能性及严重性最高的潜在问题 将风险降至可接受的范围 PPA - List the potential Problem H L 设备延误 H H 工厂着火 S P Potential Problem 工厂完工 Identify Likely Causes Identifying factors that could create the potential problem To help prevent or reduce the threat Ask: What could cause this potential problem? What has happened in the past to cause it? What changes during completion of the work package could cause it? List likely causes for each potent