第18章有效市场假说.pdf

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Financial Management (财务管理) Chapter 18 Market Efficiency Hypothesis Bingyi Huang PH.D 博士 Department of Accounting, College of Management, Xia niversity 厦门大学管理学院会计系 1 Efficient Markets Hypothesis • An efficient capital market is one in which stock prices fully reflect available information. • The EMH has implications for investors and firms. • S e information is reflected in security prices quickly, knowing information when it is released does an investor no good. • Firms should expect to receive the fair value for securities that they sell. Firms cannot profit from fooling investors in an efficient market. Reaction of Stock Price to New Information in Efficient and Inefficient Markets Stock Price Overreaction to “good news” with reversion Delayed response to “good news” Efficient market response to “good news” -30 -20 -10 0 +10 +20 +30 Days before (-) and after (+) announcement Reaction of Stock Price to New Information in Efficient and Inefficient Markets Efficient market Stock response to “bad news” Delayed Price response to “bad news” -30 -20 -10 0 +10 +20 +30

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